Modeling a Rapidly Urbanizing Regional Landscape to Assess Co ...

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Abstract

Multifunctional periurban landscapes generally constitute the most extensive interface between anthropogenic infrastructure and ecological infrastructure. Within such areas, resilience and sustainability of essential ecological flows are predicated on maintaining or enhancing connectivity among remnant natural areas. However, the establishment of built infrastructure and metropolitan growth‐related land use change often results in fragmentation, habitat loss, and threats to ecological goods and services at a regional scale. We employ a non‐species‐based approach to landscape connectivity to assess spatial patterns of relatively natural areas in a rapidly urbanizing, multifunctional, periurban landscape in western Canada for the purpose of regional land‐use planning. We conducted a GIS spatial analysis based on “human footprint” data applied to land cover. Land‐use types were weighted according to their assumed relative impact on ecological function and the inverse of this human use layer provided a spatial index of natural integrity. We calculated ecological connectivity as a continuous gradient of permeability based on percolation theory and least‐cost distance methods for network analysis. Our results identify compelling patterns of connectivity (flow) assessment for the surface of a regional landscape level. This information is being used in a transdisciplinary, applied research and practice partnership between researchers and regional planners to strategize spatial resilience and land use sustainability. The final maps represent a graphic ecological connectivity index for the region.