A Simultaneous Estimation of Environmental Kuznets Curve

S09 2

Views: 169

All Rights Reserved

Copyright © 2009, Common Ground Research Networks, All Rights Reserved

Abstract

This study attempts to examine the relationship between environmental degradation and economic growth in developing countries by taking into account the environmental Kuznets curve. The focus is on air pollution in Malaysia. This study attempts to measure the actual shape of Environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) in response to modern environmental regulation in Malaysia. As Grossman (1995) first suggested, it is possible to distinguish three main channels whereby income growth affects the quality of the environment. They are firstly, a scale effect, secondly a composition effect and thirdly, technological progress. A recent research criticism of the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis is based on the occurrence of foreign direct investment and international trade (Cole, 2003 and 2004). The general objective of this study is to measure the relationship between economic growth and different indicators of air pollution in Malaysia. Air pollution indicators were assessed on a number of measures: Carbon Monoxide (CO), Sulphur Dioxide (SO2), Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2), Ozone (O3) and Particulate Matter (PM10). The income level per capita GDP (Gross Domestic Product) were measured from the year 1996 to 2006 quarterly. In the EKC literature, EKC is always estimated in the form of a single equation. However, since both income and environmental quality are endogenous variables in which they impact upon each other, therefore the estimation of single equation relationships where simultaneity exists will produce biased and inconsistent estimates (Shen, 2006). This study contributes to the available literature by Hung et al (2004) and Shen (2006) by adopting the model and extending it to include variables such as the number of motor vehicles, foreign direct investment and government spending. Being different from the study by Hung et al (2004) and Shen (2006), this study estimates population density as an endogenous variable. It formulates a four-equation simultaneous model for empirical research. It is testing for exogeneity with the Hausman test and estimates the simultaneity model using the two-stages least squares method. The EKC hypothesis is supported in the cases of SO2 and PM10 and there are several differences found between single polynomial equation estimators commonly used in EKC literatures and simultaneous equation estimators. In income equation, this study found the positive effects of physical capital on income and the negative impact of pollution, SO2 on income. In abatement equation, this study also found the negative effects pollutant emissions, positive effect of secondary industry share on pollution abatement expenses.