Prediction of Urban Expansion with the Aim of Preventing Ecosystem Damage: Using the Slope, Land Use, Exclusion Area, Urban, Transportation, and Hillside Model and the Environmental Conservation Value Assessment Map

Abstract

The majority of the world’s population lives in urban areas, and urban areas are increasingly expanding. This has damaged many areas that need to be conserved. In addition, the expansion of urban areas creates housing, transportation, environmental, and climate problems, and drives a policy need for urban expansion. In this study, urban expansion models were used to create policies to cope with urban expansion. The urban expansion model used in this study is the Slope, Land Use, Exclusion Area, Urban, Transportation, and Hillside (SLEUTH) model and has the advantage of being able to consider policy factors over other models. In this study, we examined the impact of the class of the Environmental Conservation Value Assessment Map on urban expansion by reflecting it in model operation. The SLEUTH model is an urban expansion model based on Cellular Automata, which can predict land-use changes as well as urban expansion. In this study, Yongin City, Gyeonggi-do was chosen as the focus of the study, an area where damage from the land use perspective caused by the expansion of urban areas. The land use status of the interim year was estimated using land cover maps and input data for model operation.

Details

Presentation Type

Paper Presentation in a Themed Session

Theme

Urban and Extraurban Spaces

KEYWORDS

SLEUTH, Urban Growth, Cellular Automata, ECVAM

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