Eleventh Global Studies Conference

Abstract

The Arctic was chosen due to the increased global interest in the region, which may, in turn, be attributed to its natural resources and geopolitical implications. Current relations between Western Arctic nations and Russia may be characterized as tense and non-cooperative; the major and minor powers involved in the region seek to stake their claim for various reasons. As of now, no single structure for cooperation has been created and implemented which might unify their interests in light of the historical, cultural, political, economic, and security considerations at play. Due to the recent political events and disagreements regarding Russian foreign policy, the Western Arctic nations boycotted Russia and prevent cooperation, a policy which renders equal interaction of all the relevant states in developing and exploring the region impossible and inflames relations between the divided Arctic nations. Isolating Russia by imposing sanctions evokes a Cold War mentality, cultivates misperceptions, and serves to erode trust between the West and Russia. In order to address the state of conflict between the West and Russia with regards to the Arctic region, this study analyzes three options: focus on cooperation, isolate Russia, thereby impeding cooperation, and do nothing. The positive and negative implications for the region’s development, as well as for cooperation among the Arctic nations, will be addressed. Through the application of game theory as a methodological tool, we classify each of the options mentioned above as win-win, win-lose, and lose-lose scenarios, respectively, and illustrate the outcomes and consequences of each option.