Abstract
Electricity is one of those innovations that have changed the daily life of everybody on the planet. However, ongoing changes in climate that manifest themselves through changes in temperature, precipitation, sea level, and the frequency and severity of extreme weather events have started to affect electricity production and consumption all over the world. These effects contribute to changing residential demand for electricity in terms of the need for air-conditioning, refrigeration, water temperature regulation, etc. Recognizing the importance of this issue, a number of studies have been conducted internationally on analyzing future electricity demand conditions of different countries. The estimation of such changes in electricity demand is important as they can have important consequences for electricity generation capacity building in the future. Taking the above into account, the objectives of the present study are: (i) statistical estimation of the impact of climate change on electricity demand in residential sector in the province of New Brunswick, and (ii) projection of the changes in residential demand for electricity in the province under different climate change scenarios. Increasing temperature, changing precipitation patterns, rising sea level and increasing frequency of extreme weather events are major climate change impacts analyzed in this study. As there is a protracted time lag between demand needs for electricity and its capacity building, the study will prove helpful for the provincial government regarding its design of energy policy at the time of changing climate.
Presenters
Yuri YevdokimovProfessor, Departments of Civil Engineering and Economics, University of New Brunswick, New Brunswick, Canada
Details
Presentation Type
Paper Presentation in a Themed Session
Theme
Assessing Impacts in Diverse Ecosystems
KEYWORDS
Climate Chane, Residential Electricity Demand, Statistical estimation, Policy Recommendations
