Optimistic Income Expectations and Meeting Those Expectations: What Matters for Well-being in a Developing Country?

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of income expectations and the extent to which these expectations are met, on subjective well-being. Using three waves of panel data on Indonesia, on average for the population sample, expectations had asymmetric effects on well-being, with pessimistic expectations having a strong adverse effect compared to a statistically weak positive effect of optimism. However, there were important differences in these results. For example, optimism improves only females’ and not males’ well-being while pessimism has the reverse effect on the gender’s decrease in well-being. Interestingly, there was no difference in these effects between rural and urban residents and exceeding expectations rarely affects well-being of any subgroup. On the other hand, unmet expectations reduced well-being for all subgroups and we explored the importance of social capital in mediating this negative effect. Results on social capital highlight the need for a gendered agenda and to consider the rural-urban divide in policies aimed at improving well-being.

Presenters

Sha Fan
Assistant Professor, Beijing Normal University, Guangdong, China

Details

Presentation Type

Paper Presentation in a Themed Session

Theme

The Physiology, Kinesiology and Psychology of Wellness in its Social Context

KEYWORDS

Happiness, Optimism and Pessimism, Unmet and Beaten expectations, Social capital