Integrated Coupled Human and Natural System Complexity Management for Climate Change Adaptation Policies Using Artificial Neural Network Tool

Abstract

Although many studies have been examining the interactions of Coupled Human-Nature System (CHANS), the complexity of this interaction has not been well understood. This is mainly due to the lack of the integrated progress in the interdisciplinary research that combines social, economic, and ecological aspects whilst addressing such complex interaction. This complex coupled system between human and the environment has led to the various severe phenomena including the anthropogenic Climate Change (CC). The impact of public perception and economic growth towards coping CC needs to be evaluated as it articulates the vision of transiting global economy to net zero carbon concepts. Therefore, the current research investigates possible gathered Climate Change Social Perceptions (CCSP) and economic factors and explores their relative influence using Expert Judgement. Moreover, the current research reviews reported CHANS interrelations and the associated impacts and utilises these interrelations and linkages among the various significant drivers using fuzzy model techniques and neural network systems supported by experts’ judgment to generate various empirical formulas that govern the boundaries of any further interrelation and potential generated impacts. Hence, these formulas provide better understanding of the nonlinear complex interconnectivity as well as a well-established scientific base that can better support the decision-making process and inform the policy makers towards appropriate and ad-hoc measures to account for future CHANS interaction with much less uncertainties about their impacts.

Presenters

Dhanushki Perera
Student, PhD, CQU, Victoria, Australia

Details

Presentation Type

Paper Presentation in a Themed Session

Theme

Sustaining Crisis: (de)growth, Alternative Economies, Greenwashing, Social and Political Movements

KEYWORDS

COMPLEXITY MANAGEMENT, CLIMATE CHANGE, COUPLED HUMAN AND NATURAL SYSTEM