Have Cold Weather Plans Been Effective in Reducing Mortality Due to Cold in England?

By: Jose Iparraguirre  

Using daily mortality and temperature data for each of the nine regions in England between 1 January 2005 and 31 December 2014, this paper assesses the effectiveness of Cold Weather Plans in England in reducing the mortality risk attributable to cold weather. It applies a novel econometric technique to generate a counterfactual when, as in this case, none is available. The main finding is that the plans were ineffective and, in some instances, counterproductive.

Temperature-related mortality, Distributed lag non-linear models, Cold Weather Plans
Public Policy and Public Perspectives on Aging
Paper Presentation in a Themed Session

Prof. Jose Iparraguirre

University of Morón, United Kingdom
United Kingdom

Chief Economist, Age UK, London, United Kingdom and Professor of Economics, University of Morón, Buenos Aires, Argentina. Decade-long experience in the interface between economics and ageing. Graduate studies in economics, economic policy, public policy, statistics, and philosophy. Currently doing a PhD in Sociology of Demographic Change looking at the impact of changes in household patterns and adult social care.