Abstract
Classified as the result of an extreme or intense phenomenon in the social system, natural disasters can affect human life in several dimensions. At macroeconomic levels, compromises economic growth, infrastructure, and employment levels. In the microeconomics sphere, it affects access to basic services, such as human capital formation, earnings, and health or nutrition. This research analyzes the impact of natural disasters on the students’ test scores in Portuguese and Mathematics, dropout rates, and grade promotion in Brazil using Fixed Effects models. A municipal panel data set was created from 2009 to 2019 using data from the Integrated Disaster Information System (S2ID) of the National Secretariat for Civil Defense and the National Institute of Educational Studies and Research (INEP). The results showed that natural disasters in the Northeast region of Brazil were responsible for reductions in students’ proficiency, decrease in grade promotion, and increase in dropout rates. This study shows the negative effect of natural disasters on human capital and may serve as a tool to orient public policies to mitigate the problem, and better protect the society.
Presenters
Ana Lucia KassoufResearcher, Economics, University of Sao Paulo and Partnership for Economic Policy, São Paulo, Brazil
Details
Presentation Type
Paper Presentation in a Themed Session
Theme
Human Impacts and Responsibility
KEYWORDS
NATURAL DISASTERS, SCHOOL PERFORMANCE, GRADE PROMOTION, DROPOUT RATES, IMPACT ASSESSMENT
