Sixteenth International Conference on Climate Change: Impacts & Responses

Abstract

In this paper a choice of adaptation strategies in the face of climate change and the uncertainty of the market is reviewed in our case study Ballbeck El-Hermel “Lebanon”. First, we identify, through ongoing projects, available statistics and highly targeted field surveys, the main agricultural actors in each territory and to characterize the diversity of agricultural households. Then we offer a discussion for the co-construction of adaptation strategies. This choice is made collectively with the actors of the territory through several workshops. The strategies combine three types of criteria: agronomic and environmental, socio-economic, and organizational by proposing and testing the creation of new collective production strategies. An extensive database was created from the surveys, then corrected and cleaned to create a new, reliable, and up-to-date database for the study area. The study is based on three dominant system in the region: 1. The vegetable system 2. The Arboriculture system 3.The Mixed system (arboriculture and cereals). Eight detailed strategies have been put in place, now we must choose an adequate methodological framework to evaluate these strategies. To meet this requirement, the AHP method was chosen as a suitable solution. AHP, as an approach to multicriteria analysis, lends itself perfectly to the multidimensional nature of the criteria involved. This transition to the use of AHP paves the way for a more in-depth and nuanced evaluation of these strategies.