Validation of Local Perception and Geo-spatial Analysis of Climate Change in District Mardan, KPK, Pakistan

Abstract

In the near past there are many studies conducted which argue that Pakistan is one of the most vulnerable countries to climate change. This comprise the diverse nature of temperature, rainfall, flooding, rise in sea level, storms, snow melting and avalanches, changing nature of surface water and vegetation etc. These changes i.e. 2010 flood, snow avalanche in 2012 Siachen Glacier region, 2015 Pakistan heat wave (120 °F) struck southern Pakistan are being felt in Pakistan. This study enlists multiple efforts to articulate local perceptions and scientific analysis of climate change in district Mardan, KPK, Pakistan. The study compares the local knowledge about climate change and scientific evidence using geospatial technology and confirms the findings. During the past decade it has been absorbed that climate change visibly occurred in study area. The GIS (Geographical Information System) and ERDAS programs were used for collecting land-surface and atmospheric data. The local community perceptions about climate change were added after giving weightage to qualitative data. The locals know about visible change but they don’t know the actual value of change. The results of local community’s perception and scientific findings are co-related to quantify the impacts of climate change and results were visualized on map. We suggest stakeholders integrate the social and technological changes on local and national level strategies to adapt and mitigate the impacts of climate change in long term.

Presenters

Gohar Ali
GIS Officer, CIU, KPCIP, Project of Management Unit (PMU), North-West Frontier, Pakistan

Details

Presentation Type

Paper Presentation in a Themed Session

Theme

The Nature of Evidence

KEYWORDS

Geo-spatial, Local Community, Technological Changes, National Strategies