Screening Government Development Projects for Climate Risk and Natural Disaster: A Case Study of Developing Screening Tools and Methodology for Bangladesh

Abstract

Bangladesh is undergoing unprecedented economic growth in recent years. However, considering its geographical location and the resulting vulnerability to climate change and natural disasters, it become a burning question, how to safeguard this development efforts to be sustainable in the long run. To improve the climate change and disaster resiliency of the country as a whole, government as a timely step, developed a methodology to screen the development projects according to risk score. At the first step, a Risk Atlas at district level has been formulated following Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) guidelines of HEVR model. Ten hazards were selected for the analysis as Flood, Drought, Cyclone & Storm surge, River erosion, Seal level rise, Salinity, Landslide and two future climate change scenarios (RCP4.5, RCP 8.5) of temperature and precipitation. In a GIS platform, through overlay approach, the resulting risk maps were prepared. After then a Climate Risk Screening (CSR) and detailed Climate Risk Vulnerability Assessment (CRVA) tool was developed to conduct the screening of the development projects, in terms of their level of risk that is exposed to during the project period. In a web based platform, disaster risk score of a development project, with proper weightage assigned considering its nature and relation to a particular hazard was done. Depending on the risk score, provision is there to propose appropriate measures for their long term sustainability. Ultimately, it can serve as a guideline or decision making tool for identifying CCA, and DRR options to safeguard government development projects.

Presenters

Dr. Md. Sirajul Islam
Professor, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering (CEE), Director, Center for Infrastructure Research and Services (CIRS), North South University, Bangladesh

Dr. Nurun Nahar
Joint Chief, Bangladesh Planning Commission, Ministry of Planning, Bangladesh

Dr. Mst. Farida Perveen
Deputy Director, Planning, Project Implementation & ICT Wing, Department of Agricultural Extension, Dhaka zila, Bangladesh

Dr. Md. Golam Mahabub Sarwar
UNDP, Bangladesh

Dr. Shameem Hassan Bhuiyan
Bangladesh Meteorological Department, Bangladesh

Details

Presentation Type

Paper Presentation in a Themed Session

Theme

Technical, Political, and Social Responses

KEYWORDS

Climate change, Natural disaster, Development projects, Risk score and Screening